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Greetings Decision Maker,
A new Anthropic report introduces "observed exposure," a metric that tracks where AI is actually entering work rather than what it theoretically could do, combining task feasibility with real-world usage data. The strongest signal today is weaker entry-level hiring in exposed occupations, not a mass unemployment shock. In Computer & Math occupations, theoretical exposure sits at 94%, but observed coverage is just 33%, showing a wide gap between capability and deployment. For workers ages 22 to 25, entry into highly exposed occupations fell by roughly 14%, a pattern confirmed by separate payroll data showing a 13% relative employment decline for the same age group, driven mainly by slower hiring rather than layoffs. Using Current Population Survey data, the report finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers since late 2022. For leaders, the message is clear: redesign work around human judgment now, before a thinning hiring pipeline erodes the pathways that build expertise.
To learn more, check out this blog.
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Prefer video to text? See this video based on the blog: |
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If you prefer audio, listen to this podcast based on the article: |
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Make Your Voice Heard
Vote in this LinkedIn poll to contribute to the conversation. I will use the responses to inform my articles in Harvard Business Review, Fortune, and Entrepreneur. |
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Your Testimonials
You and others who gain value from Disaster Avoidance Experts consulting and speaking services and thought leadership occasionally share testimonials about your experience, such as the one below. You can read more testimonials here. |
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"On behalf of all of Chattanooga PMI, I want to personally thank you for taking the time to prepare and provide a meaningful virtual presentation during our virtual lunch and learn. You were flexible and easy to work with in preparation for the meeting. We appreciate your efforts to make it engaging and relevant to our audience. It was thought provoking and we had great take-aways that everyone could immediately put into action. We were impressed and grateful to you for providing our audience with useful materials, a copy of your newest book, and making yourself available for coaching. We received positive feedback from the attendees, would recommend you to others, and will definitely reach out to you in the future to present again!"
- Angel Hartsock, Vice President of Programs, PMI Chattanooga Chapter
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What's Up With Me
In the latest episode of our real-life Dr. House miniseries, my second thrombectomy failed because the clot in my left leg has become dense scar tissue that doctors cannot safely cross, and they found no underlying mechanical reason for why it formed. That modestly strengthens the possible connection to my unresolved lung mass, with AI analysis now putting the probability of cancer around 60-65%. I’m working on moving my care to Ohio State, with a pulmonology appointment on August 18 and a biopsy expected afterward. For anyone joining midseason, this started with a massive DVT in March, followed in June by chest pain, fluid around my lung, and discovery of a roughly four-centimeter partially cavitary lung lesion that infection testing has not explained. Meanwhile, my wife and business partner Agnes starts a month of radiation next week after her second breast-cancer surgery resulted in clean margins. Apparently the writers still think one medical crisis at a time lacks sufficient drama. For those who asked how to help, check out our support page. |
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Would love to get your feedback on what you found most useful about this edition of the “Wise Decision Maker Guide” - simply reply to this email.
Decisively Yours,
Dr. Gleb
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