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Wise Decision Maker Guide
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Greetings Decision maker
,

More than a year after the COVID-19 pandemic upended our routines and lifestyles, many of us are beginning to return to some of the activities we gave up. While being shut mostly in your home or observing infection prevention guidelines when leaving the house, chances are you might be finding it difficult to adapt to these new changes of the past couple of months. And yet, we all have to find a way to survive and thrive in the post-pandemic recovery.

To learn more, check out this blog.



Prefer video to text? See this
video based on the blog:




If you prefer audio, listen to this podcast based on the blog:

podcast: How to Survive and Thrive During the Post-Pandemic Recovery

Your Testimonials

You and others who gain value from Disaster Avoidance Experts thought leadership, products, and services (consulting, coaching, and training) occasionally share testimonials about your experience, such as the one below. You can read more testimonials here.

Image of Dr. Ed Goldberg
Gleb Tsipursky presented "Covid-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Adaptation and Planning for Business Continuity Professionals" as part of the ACP (Association of Continuity Professionals) ongoing webinar series. It is my privilege to host these webinars and I have been doing so for over a decade. Gleb's presentation was among the best to date in terms of getting people to adapt alternative perspectives of planning assumptions, dealing with major changes and disruptions, etc. Great presenter and great, thoughtful content. And he's a delightful guy, too!”


Dr. Ed Goldberg, CBCP, ACP Webinar Host,National Board member,
Treasurer and Executive Committee
eSpeakers Certified Virtual Presenter
Recent Public Appearances

You might find of interest a number of recent public appearances about my three recent best-selling books:


What's Up With Me

Following up on my last email, where I wrote about setting up personal behavior policies after being vaccinated, several people asked what policies I follow and how I intend to change them. What my wife (and business partner) Agnes Vishnevkin and I did was to set up shared policies for our household, just like we did for the pandemic.

We drew on a combination of CDC guidelines for vaccinated people with other research on COVID cases among vaccinated people as a baseline. Notably, the CDC has to make guidelines that apply across the whole US. Yet COVID spread differs across the US: North Dakota has more than three times as many cases per 100,000 people compared to Vermont. Agnes and I thus adjusted our personal policies based on the COVID cases in our area (Columbus, Ohio).

Finally, we adjusted for our personal risk appetite. We tend to be quite conservative when it comes to risking our health. We want to prevent falling into hyperbolic discounting, the cognitive bias of sacrificing your future for the sake of short-term gains. We want to be friends to our future selves and not leave them in a state of long-term COVID brain fog or some other COVID long-haul condition.

As a result, we decided to, for example, eat out on patios but not do indoor dining. We’re fine going into large indoor spaces with good air circulation, but only willing to spend a short amount of time in small indoor spaces with poor circulation (all masked, of course). We meet with people outdoors as a default. We’re fine meeting with vaccinated people indoors without masks if there’s a good reason for that (i.e, it’s raining), but refrain from doing so with unvaccinated people.

We’ve set these policies for the Summer and early Fall, when there’s plenty of outdoor socializing and entertainment opportunities. We’ll reassess in mid-Fall depending on the COVID spread in our area and the situation with any new variants as the cold weather makes outdoor activities more challenging.

We're thrilled to be returning to some of the activities we gave up at the start of the pandemic. Here's a photo of us enjoying our first meal on the patio of a local restaurant.

photo of Agnes Vishnevkin and Gleb Tsipursky on a restaurant patio
Recommendations for You

How do you decide what kind of risks you take, in your personal and professional life, whether around COVID or any other risk area? Zero risk means zero reward, but how much is too much: where do you draw the line? For some insights on developing an approach to your risk-taking behaviors, check out my friend Michele Wucker’s new book, You Are What You Risk: The New Art and Science of Navigating an Uncertain World. She popularized the concept of the “Grey Rhino” in her previous best-selling book, and I’m betting this book will prove very influential as well. Let me know what you think after you read it, and I’ll pass along your comments to her.

Help Me Serve Your Needs

How may changing the ways you pursue thriving in the post-pandemic recovery prove helpful for you? Where might you do a better job of satisfying your needs in the new post-pandemic world? Which next steps will you take based on this newsletter?

Would love to get your feedback! Helping you avoid dangerous threats and maximize golden opportunities is my highest aspiration. Any feedback you can provide on this content - or anything else - will help me provide you with more value for your success.



Decisively Yours,

Gleb

photo of Gleb Tsipursky
Dr. Gleb Tsipursky
CEO of Disaster Avoidance Experts


PS: Did you miss out on reading any of my bestselling books?

book - Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic
book - The Blindspots Between Us: How to Overcome Unconscious Cognitive Bias and Build Better Relationships
book - Never Go With Your Gut: How Pioneering Leaders Make the Best Decisions and Avoid Business Disasters
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