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Wise Decision Maker Guide
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Greetings Decision maker
,

When was the last time you felt surprised because your colleague or a loved one had a different perspective than you did? How much of a conflict did that cause?

We overestimate, often greatly, the extent to which our friends, family, colleagues, and other people agree with us. That creates a sense of a false alignment with them in our heads. Behavioral scientists call this tendency the false consensus effect.

To learn more, check out this blog.


Prefer video to text? See this video based on the blog:



If you prefer audio, here is a podcast based on the blog:


podcast: Our Relationship Are Threatened by the False Consensus Effect

Make Your Voice Heard

Vote in this LinkedIn poll to contribute to the conversation. I will use the responses to inform my articles in Harvard Business Review, Fortune, and Forbes.
Poll: How has working remotely (either part time or full time) impacted your relationships to family and friends?
Your Testimonials

You and others who gain value from Disaster Avoidance Experts services and thought leadership occasionally share testimonials about your experience, such as the one below. You can read more testimonials here.

"If you are a company that is seeking a speaker to address cognitive biases that result in problematic behaviors impacting diversity and inclusion within an organization and a company's bottom line, contact Gleb. He will be able to provide you tools, resources, and proven science-based techniques that can increase motivation and engagement in the workplace to result in a healthy working culture in your organization."

Babiya Polk, Aflac Agent Team Leader



What's Up With Me


Having just returned home to Columbus, Ohio, from visiting my parents in New York City for the first time since the pandemic started, I was shocked to see how much they aged. They had COVID twice, and the second time in December of last year was particularly bad: my mom collapsed and couldn’t walk by herself, and almost had to go to the hospital. She was somewhat better when I visited, but far from her old self from three years ago: she could barely walk up the stairs in her split-level house (which has three floors and a basement). That made me raise the question of what they were thinking when buying their split-level house twenty years ago, when my mom was in her 50s and my dad in his 60s. They acknowledged that it probably wasn’t the wisest decision on their part, as they underestimated their frailty at this age. It reminded me of the all-too-human tendency toward hyperbolic discounting: underestimating the long-term consequences of our decisions. Being aware of hyperbolic discounting, I try to take it seriously, in everything from planting plants that won’t give fruit for a decade to making long-term financial investments.

Where might you be falling for hyperbolic discounting in your personal - and professional - life, and what do you think you can do to address it?

रोहित साव27, CC BY-SA 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons
Would love to get your feedback on what you found most useful about this edition of the "Wise Decision Maker Guide" - simply reply to this email.


Decisively Yours,


Dr. Gleb

photo of Gleb Tsipursky
Dr. Gleb Tsipursky
CEO of Disaster Avoidance Experts

PS: Are we connected on LinkedIn? If not, please add me.

Did you miss out on reading any of my bestselling books?

book - Never Go With Your Gut: How Pioneering Leaders Make the Best Decisions and Avoid Business Disasters
book - The Blindspots Between Us: How to Overcome Unconscious Cognitive Bias and Build Better
Relationships
book - Returning to the Office and Leading Hybrid and Remote Teams
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